Climate change may halve sugar output by 2099

Stockholm Environment Institute

Thursday, September 16, 2021

Sugar cane, which is primarily used as a food additive, is exchanged in relatively higher volumes than the other crops considered, and also appears to be highly at risk due to climate change (Figure 14). Both exposure to risk and opportunities for growth are concentrated in the Global South, with Brazil, Thailand, India, Cuba, and China – all major sugar cane growers – likely to introduce significant risk to the global sugar cane market in a warming world. In contrast, both Argentina and South Africa appear well-placed to make up a degree of this shortfall, with Argentina in particular already producing high quantities of sugar cane.

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